Enterprise AI PC adoption expected to slow in 2026

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Diving overview:

  • AI PC shipments will continue to growto slow down rapidly heading into next yearAccording to Report published Wednesday by futurum group. end of support for Microsoft Windows 10 became the main motivation for companies to adopt AI PC in 2025.
  • However, growth rates will begin to normalize in 2027 as enterprise AI PC adoption begins to follow predictable PC refresh cycles, the report said. Olivier Blanchard, research director for devices at Futurum Group, says AI PCs will eventually replace most, if not all, traditional PCs.
  • The global AI PC market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate. 38% over the next five years. The company's most optimistic scenario estimates that the AI ​​PC market could almost be achieved.$350 billion by 2030.

Dive Insight:

without Windows 10 support deadline With this serving as a motivator, businesses need to see measurable improvements in several areas to move forward with AI PC adoption towards 2026.

Many of the AI ​​PCs currently available on the market have limited capabilities, especially for enterprise use, Blanchard said.

“This landscape will change over time as software vendors bring more on-device AI capabilities to market.” blanchard said in an email to CIO Dive. “But for now, the majority of AI applications are still browser-based, so not every new PC needs to be at the cutting edge of on-device AI capabilities.”

IT decision makers will be looking for AI PCs that improve employee productivity, increase device and system security, lower total cost of ownership, and provide a better return on investment, Blanchard said.

AI PC adoption is already facing ups and downs in 2025. Growth slowed early this year tariffs and other macroeconomic uncertainties; This led to a reduction in corporate investment. Still, Gartner predicted that AI PCs would become the norm. 55% of the market in 2026 As companies look to double down on their AI capabilities.

The need for AI future-proofing organizations will be the next key driver for enterprise AI PC adoption. futurum group Report.

Dell Technologies last month raised its full-year AI shipment outlook, which includes PCs and servers. $25 billion, 150% increase from previous yearaccording to the company Q3 2026 Earnings Report. Meanwhile, HP reported Increase in AI PC shipmentsWhich It accounted for 30% of the company's total shipments in the fourth quarter ended October 31.



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