Enabling CEO predictions for AI search and spatial computing

AI For Business


2025-11-05T12:00:01Z

  • Activate CEO Michael J. Wolf’s annual slide deck includes a section examining AI search and spatial computing.
  • Regarding AI search, Wolf details licensing agreements and third-party systems, including the rise of GEO companies.
  • Wolf also details how AI will power the next generation of smart glasses and VR that Apple and Meta have invested in.

Michael J. Wolff has spent years predicting where the technology and media industries are headed. Our latest annual slide deck examines two industries at the cutting edge of technology: AI search and spatial computing.

A media veteran, he served as president and COO of MTV Networks in the 2000s and later served on the board of Yahoo. For the past 15 years, he has led his own agency, Activate Consulting, specializing in Internet businesses.

In Wolf’s 2026 Technology and Media Landscape report, to be presented at the Journal’s Tech Live conference on Wednesday, the CEO outlines the rise of AI-powered search and spatial technologies, including smart glasses, and how the segment will mature. His predictions touch on major players in AI such as OpenAI and Anthropic, as well as companies investing heavily in spatial hardware such as Apple and Meta.

Scroll through to be the first to see where Wolf breaks down both industries and where he sees each heading.

“Is there really a new gateway to the web?” Wolf asks in his section on AI search.


Cover image for Activate's AI Search presentation


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Activate research shows that AI platforms will see a 1.5x increase in monthly users from 2024 to 2025.


Skyrocketing AI usage is shown in Activate's slide deck


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According to the company’s research, 128 million people use generative AI every month.


AI usage across media is illustrated in the “Activate” deck.


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The primary use case for generative AI that Activate discovered was concept explanation.


Generative AI use cases are illustrated in the Activate slide deck.


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Activate research found that 26% of adults use both AI and traditional search platforms.


Compare and explain the usage of AI and traditional search.


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The company predicts that by 2029, 38 million more Americans will be the first to use AI in their search queries.


It depicts the growth of AI in online search.


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Wolf wrote that AI has added a new step of “processing and planning” to people’s search habits.


The third search step of the AI ​​is shown in the figure.


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According to Activate, visits to Google have increased by 17% since the launch of AI Overviews.


It depicts how Google's visitor numbers have increased since AIOverviews was launched.


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However, Google’s referral traffic decreased by an estimated 10 percentage points.


It depicts a decline in Google's referral traffic to publishers.


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Publishers, on the other hand, have licensing and revenue-sharing agreements with AI companies.


Photo is a license agreement between the publisher and the AI ​​company.

Disclosure: OpenAI and Axel Springer have a multi-year content licensing agreement. This allows ChatGPT to summarize and answer user queries using selected content from Axel Springer publications such as Politico, Business Insider, and European properties such as BILD and WELT.

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Third parties like Tollbit and ProRata.ai have sprung up between publishers and AI companies.


Depicts third parties assisting publishers with licensing and attribution.


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Wolf breaks down the differences between SEO and the newcomer “GEO.”


Illustrating SEO and GEO.


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The GEO market is growing, and third parties like Geostar and Botify are promising to help optimize performance in the age of AI.


Depicts third parties that support GEO.


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According to Activate research, 41% of non-AI users are concerned about privacy.


Depicts privacy concerns in AI search.


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AI platforms aim to monetize through advertising, subscriptions, and e-commerce.


Demonstrates a monetization model for generative AI.


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Wolf also delves into the spatial technologies driving AR headsets and smart glasses.


First slide of Activate's spatial computing materials.


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Apple, Meta, and Google are among the companies investing in spatial computing, betting that it could become the next big platform.


Pictured are companies investing in spatial computing.


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Spatial computing includes AR, VR, MR, and AI glasses.


Various spatial computing experiences are depicted.


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Use cases for AI glasses include navigation and shopping.


Various examples of AI glasses are shown.


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According to research by Activate, 49% of AI glasses owners use AI glasses for social media.


The photo shows how the app is used on AI glasses.


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Wolf predicts that spatial computing will be used across advertising, games, and vehicles.


An example of spatial computing beyond glass is shown.


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Meanwhile, the number of spatial computing apps is increasing.


Spatial apps from different app stores are shown.


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Apple’s $3,499 Vision Pro headset lets users watch concerts and tour their homes. Its main rival is Meta’s Quest VR headset.


A spatial drama between Meta and Apple is depicted.


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Technology companies like Meta, Samsung, and Snap are taking different approaches to this technology.


It depicts various technology companies' approaches to space.


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The past five years have seen a surge in the introduction of new smart glasses.


A timeline of spatial hardware innovation is depicted.


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What will the next generation of AI glasses look like? Wolf has an idea…


Predictions for next-generation spatial functions are depicted.


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He predicts that there will be a platform shift from smartphones to spatial devices.


It depicts a platform shift away from spatial technology.


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Meta uses spatial computing to establish platform independence from Apple and Google.


It depicts how companies use space to reinforce their core objectives.


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According to Activate, technology super users are 4.3 times more likely to use AI glasses each month.


Photography is a super user of spatial technology.


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Wolf considers how spatial computing could one day replace smartphones.


The timeline for spatial computing to replace smartphones is shown in the diagram.


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Wolf predicts that ubiquitous spatial devices will need to be see-through, ambient, and connected.


The qualifications for ubiquitous ambient devices are shown in the diagram.


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He believes that spatial devices will include weather and terrain data.


The data collected by the spatial technology is shown in the photo.


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To overcome the “cold start problem,” it was important to train the AI ​​on “real world” data.


It depicts how AI and spatial technologies work together.


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According to Wolf, the spatial technology will be used in the medical, industrial and defense industries.


It depicts how various companies utilize spatial technology.


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CEO provides an overview of the spatial computing technology stack.


The photo shows a spatial computing stack.


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Companies like Verizon and AT&T will benefit from better spatial technology, Wolf predicts.


Visualize what you need to create a more sophisticated spatial experience.


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