iStock via Naftalina/Getty Images
Fair treatment for Microsoft
After publishing the 38th article titled “Unsung Shadow Fireworks”, [USFs] On April 19, 2023, I pondered my treatment of tech giant Microsoft (MSFT).
“Surprisingly, all FAANGs (META or Facebook, AAPL, AMZN, NFLX, and GOOG)… In these two tables, the data contains only 54 stocks, but… (from USF)”
I’ve read at least half a dozen SA articles about the Microsoft/Google (GOOG) (GOOGL) race for machine learning in artificial intelligence. [AIML]and MSFT is a bit more advanced than GOOL in AI games.
In Table 3, MSFT ranks 14th, GOOG (Google) ranks 6th, and META (Facebook) ranks 12th, up 2% to 2.99%. In Table 2, which lists the stocks that rose by more than 3%, they are 1st (Apple (AAPL)), 2nd (Amazon (AMZN)), and 12th (Netflix (NFLX)).
However, FAANG only hugged 5 members excluding members. Probably the frontrunner for AIML, MSFT. What are your thoughts on this incident?
The only suggestion is to change the group id from “FAANG” to “FAMANG”. That’s why this new identity goes into the title.
Related matters today (Tuesday, April 25, 2023)
“Dear Reader:
my very short period [VST] 15+ years of trading rules
Not only is my market analysis framework simple, so are my VST trading rules: 1) maximum bet is 1,000, 2) minimum profit is +1%, 3) current daily profit target. [DGT] $100 or current annual profit target [AGT] $25,000 (= $500 x 50 weeks).
Rule 1 and Rule 2 have been the same since 2008, while Rule 3 reflects market conditions. Until 2020, it was around $200-$300 for DGT and $50,000-$75,000 for AGT. Here’s why the current target is low: You can find it in my various articles.
15 years of consistent practice of rules 1 and 2 has minimized the number of trade failures. Each time the buy order costs him less than 1,000, with a minimum amount of about $1.01,000, but quite often well above the minimum amount.
The market today (Tuesday, April 25th) was very bad for me. I barely made $34.65 in an unfriendly session. Whether the market is bad or good, check the postmarket (or after-hours trading) to see how your holdings are doing.
One holding emerged, gaining +6.25% at 7:25 PM ET. It’s his MSFT that reported the earnings at the end. I sold his 3 shares of his MSFT with a profit of $28.05 (2.87%) and daily profit he increased to $62.07.
The whole purpose of this honest illustration is to help the reader understand what I have been doing for a living in the last 15 years.
Profits in VST trading will only add to a well-diversified portfolio until 2020, after which the erroneous ‘bear’ market and possibly erroneous ‘recession’ market I described in my article will Remember to add to my online savings in between. (From a comment on “Do you expect a recession?”)
Join META (Facebook) MSFT (Microsoft)
As shown in Table 1, Tuesday (April 25th) recorded a large loss (-1.58%) and Wednesday (April 26th) added another loss (-0.38%). Loss, -1.96%, registered in the Loss column. All bulls, including myself, were worried about the market today (Thursday, April 27).
On Thursday (April 27), one day before the end of April (Friday), it recovered its exact loss (-1.96%) and closed at 4,135.35, up +1.96%. Charles Schwab reports:
“The broader market meta Post-earnings platform (META 238.56, +29.16, +13.9%) is a relief that the Megacap leader continues to perform relatively well from an operational perspective and maintains its market leadership position helped create the ”Italics are me)
Schwab’s report continues:
“Positive price action also Improved economic outlook. good earnings and/or guidance from the industrial sector and other companies; and Solid final sales growth of 3.4% in the first quarter And initial unemployment claims, which continue to be well below recession-like levels, Alleviate concerns that the economy is at imminent risk of a hard landing.” (italics are mine)
Monthly update of the current uptrend as of April 28
|
Table 1: Momentum and Trends |
|||
|
(From February 1, 2023 to April 28, 2023) |
|||
|
date |
close |
% CH |
m/P |
|
23/01/31 |
4,076.60 |
* |
* |
|
02/01/23 |
4,119.21 |
1.05% |
P. |
|
02/02/23 |
4,179.76 |
1.47% |
P. |
|
02/03/23 |
4,136.48 |
-1.04% |
meters |
|
02/06/23 |
4,111.08 |
-0.61% |
meters |
|
02/07/23 |
4,164.00 |
1.29% |
P. |
|
02/08/23 |
4,117.86 |
-1.11% |
meters |
|
02/09/23 |
4,081.50 |
-0.88% |
meters |
|
02/10/23 |
4,090.46 |
0.22% |
P. |
|
02/13/23 |
4,137.29 |
1.14% |
P. |
|
02/14/23 |
4,136.13 |
-0.03% |
meters |
|
23/02/15 |
4,147.60 |
0.28% |
P. |
|
23/02/16 |
4,090.41 |
-1.38% |
meters |
|
02/17/23 |
4,079.09 |
-0.28% |
meters |
|
02/21/23 |
3,997.34 |
-2.00% |
meters |
|
23/02/22 |
3,991.05 |
-0.16% |
meters |
|
23/02/23 |
4,012.32 |
0.53% |
P. |
|
23/02/24 |
3,970.04 |
-1.05% |
meters |
|
23/02/27 |
3,982.24 |
0.31% |
P. |
|
23/02/28 |
3,970.15 |
-0.30% |
meters |
|
03/01/23 |
3,951.39 |
-0.47% |
meters |
|
03/02/23 |
3,981.35 |
0.76% |
P. |
|
03/03/23 |
4,045.64 |
1.61% |
P. |
|
03/06/23 |
4,048.42 |
0.07% |
P. |
|
03/07/23 |
3,986.37 |
-1.53% |
meters |
|
03/08/23 |
3,992.01 |
0.14% |
P. |
|
03/09/23 |
3,918.32 |
-1.85% |
meters |
|
03/10/23 |
3,861.59 |
-1.45% |
meters |
|
03/13/23 |
3,855.76 |
-0.15% |
meters |
|
23/03/14 |
3,919.29 |
1.65% |
P. |
|
23/03/15 |
3,891.93 |
-0.70% |
meters |
|
23/03/16 |
3,960.28 |
1.76% |
P. |
|
23/03/17 |
3,916.64 |
-1.10% |
meters |
|
23/03/20 |
3,951.57 |
0.89% |
P. |
|
23/03/21 |
4,002.87 |
1.30% |
P. |
|
23/03/22 |
3,936.97 |
-1.65% |
meters |
|
23/03/23 |
3,948.72 |
0.30% |
P. |
|
23/03/24 |
3,970.99 |
0.56% |
P. |
|
23/03/27 |
3,977.53 |
0.16% |
P. |
|
23/03/28 |
3,971.27 |
-0.16% |
meters |
|
23/03/29 |
4,027.81 |
1.42% |
P. |
|
23/03/30 |
4,050.83 |
0.57% |
P. |
|
23/03/31 |
4,109.31 |
1.44% |
P. |
|
04/03/23 |
4,124.51 |
0.37% |
P. |
|
04/04/23 |
4,100.60 |
-0.58% |
meters |
|
04/05/23 |
4,090.38 |
-0.25% |
meters |
|
04/06/23 |
4,105.02 |
0.36% |
P. |
|
04/10/23 |
4,109.11 |
0.10% |
P. |
|
04/11/23 |
4,108.94 |
0.00% |
P. |
|
04/12/23 |
4,091.95 |
-0.41% |
meters |
|
04/13/23 |
4,146.22 |
1.33% |
P. |
|
04/14/23 |
4,137.64 |
-0.21% |
meters |
|
04/17/23 |
4,151.32 |
0.33% |
P. |
|
04/18/23 |
4,154.87 |
0.09% |
P. |
|
04/19/23 |
4,154.52 |
-0.01% |
* |
|
04/20/23 |
4,129.79 |
-0.60% |
meters |
|
23/04/21 |
4,133.52 |
0.09% |
P. |
|
23/04/24 |
4,137.04 |
0.09% |
P. |
|
23/04/25 |
4,071.63 |
-1.58% |
meters |
|
23/04/26 |
4,055.99 |
-0.38% |
meters |
|
23/04/27 |
4,135.35 |
1.96% |
P. |
|
23/04/28 |
4,169.58 |
0.83% |
P. |
|
Note |
|||
|
1. CLOSE: Closing price of the S&P 500 Index |
|||
|
2. %CH: percent change. |
|||
|
3. m/P: Minus/Plus. |
|||
Table 1 Pitch 1) 1m/1P: 11 vs. 6 (m with EDGE), 2) 2m/2P: 4 vs. 6 (P with EDGE), 3m/3P: 1 vs. 4 (P with BIG EDGE Yes), and 4m/4P: 1 to 1 (even).
“P” added a EDGE of 2m/2P (4 vs. 6) on top of one BIG EDGE of 3m/3p (! vs. 4).
|
Table 2: Friday m/P |
|||||
|
February 2023, March 2023, April 2023 |
|||||
|
Month |
date |
||||
|
February |
3 |
Ten |
17 |
twenty four |
* |
|
m/P |
meters |
P. |
meters |
meters |
* |
|
March |
3 |
Ten |
17 |
twenty four |
31 |
|
m/P |
P. |
meters |
meters |
P. |
P. |
|
April |
6 |
14 |
twenty one |
28 |
* |
|
m/P |
P. |
meters |
P. |
P. |
* |
|
Note |
|||||
|
1. Data source: Yahoo Finance. |
|||||
|
2. Homemade table. 2, using Table 1. |
|||||
As of Q1 2023 (January, February, March), Friday voting will be 5 vs 8 Agree with “P”. January’s “P” received 4 out of 4 votes, so the votes were tilted in February and March 5 vs 3in favor of ‘m’.
If you enter each week in April:
Week 1 (April 6 instead of April 7): “m” vs “P” was 5 vs 4.
Week 2 (April 14th): “m” vs “P” was 6 vs 4.
Week 3 (April 21st): “m” vs “P” was 6 vs 5.
Week 4 (Apr 28): “m” vs “P” was 6 vs 6
in total. “P” closed the 5-3 to 6-6 deficit and made EVEN.
A month-old uptrend that started on March 31st has finally found a strong foothold.
Conclusion
I want pure professionalism trading any stock without discrimination. As a human, not a machine, I failed to enforce the equal opportunity principle at Text’s two companies, Microsoft and Facebook.
The story of MSFT:!) I hate the dominance of “Windows” from the Bill Gates days to now. 2) As a loyal Google Chrome user, I have to complain about Bing or Edge continually “interfering” on my screen, but this is greatly mitigated with Chrome’s help. 3) Being a Lotus 1-2-3 expert, I was very disappointed when ‘Excel’ took over Lotus without any ‘improvements’.
Talk about Facebook1) I don’t like the ticker symbol change from FB to META. I bought it when FB did an IPO, but it immediately went into the red. Then FB flew into the sky and made me sad. 2) I’m not sure how to cut so many employees to make META stronger in the long term.
That said, I now don’t hesitate to cherry-pack whenever it appears on my radar..
