Apoorv Agrawal, partner at Altimeter Capital, articulated a compelling theory that artificial intelligence has officially become the dominant capital formation cycle in a revealing discussion on Bloomberg Tech. This perspective frames the current AI boom not just as a technological advance, but as a fundamental economic change similar to previous great waves driven by computing, the Internet, and mobile technologies.
Visual TL;DR. AI as new capital will drive large-scale infrastructure investments. Major infrastructure investments to meet growing demand. AI as New Capital is the AI Foundation. AI Foundation allows you to scale and monetize. The AI Foundation impacts interactions with industry. AI Foundation Shapes the Future of Work AI as new capital drives economic shifts.
AI as the new capital: AI is now a key driver of capital formation
Massive infrastructure investments: Hyperscalers pour billions into compute, memory, and networking hardware
Growing demand: Surging demand for AI services will drive investment
AI Foundation: AI moves from niche to fundamental
Scale and monetize: Scale your AI capabilities and compete to generate revenue.
Interaction with industry: AI impacts and integrates with other sectors
The future of work: Transforming jobs and the workforce landscape
Economic change: A fundamental economic change similar to the Internet and mobile waves.
Visual TL;DR
Agrawal explained that AI is moving from a niche technology to a fundamental element driving significant capital investment across the board. He highlighted how the massive capital expenditures (CAPEX) by hyperscalers such as Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta are indicative of this new cycle. These tech giants are pouring billions of dollars into AI infrastructure, including advanced computing, memory, and networking hardware, to support the burgeoning demand for AI services.
Complete discussion can be found here: bloomberg technologyYouTube channel.
Altimeter says AI has become a dominant capital formation cycle — via Bloomberg Technology
AI as a new foundation
The conversation delved into how AI is not just a product or service, but a core component that enables other technologies and industries. Agrawal pointed out that companies are now building business models around AI, including providing AI models, developing AI-powered software, and integrating AI into existing products. This shift means that the market for AI capabilities is rapidly expanding, creating a virtuous cycle of investment and innovation.
Race to scale and monetize
The discussion also touches on the competitive environment, with prominent AI companies such as OpenAI and Anthropic reportedly preparing for major IPOs. This is indicative of a broader trend for AI companies to monetize their advances and scale their operations in line with market demand. Agrawal pointed out that while many companies are focused on the AI model itself, the underlying infrastructure and hardware are key enablers and present a significant investment opportunity.
Interaction between AI and other industries
Agrawal emphasized that the AI revolution is not isolated and is poised to transform various sectors. He drew parallels to how previous technology cycles such as the internet and mobile created new markets and business opportunities. The current surge in AI is expected to have a similar, if not more profound, impact on a wide range of industries, from manufacturing to healthcare and beyond. The demand for AI is driving the need for more sophisticated hardware and software solutions, creating a significant market for companies that can provide these essential components.
The future of work in the AI era
Looking ahead, Agrawal touched on the impact of AI on the future of work. He suggested that as AI capabilities become more sophisticated and integrated into business processes, they will have a significant impact on jobs and required skill sets. Companies that can adapt and effectively leverage AI are well-positioned to grow, while those that lag behind may face challenges. The continued development and deployment of AI technology suggests a future in which humans and artificial intelligence increasingly work together.