The Australian job market is geared towards AI shake-ups.
According to new modeling from Jobs and Skills Australia, the generated AI is set up to automate most of the daily administrative and administrative tasks.
The agency's “Our GEN AI Transition” report released Thursday used a general, computable equilibrium modelling of the entire economy. This is a type of economic simulation that tracks changes in all industries and occupations – predicting how automation and expansion can compact the Australian labor market between now and 2050.
The model incorporated a “exposure” score into 998 occupations, and estimated that each job could be fully automated or partially enhanced by AI technology.
Results showed that only about 4% of the workforce are in occupations with high automated exposure, while 79% have low automated exposure but have moderate to high potential.
This means that AI is likely to change how most jobs do rather than eliminate them.
The JSA report lists everyday administrative roles such as general clerks, receptionists, accountants, and bookkeepers as the most automated.
At the other end of the spectrum, there was a high possibility that knowledge-intensive work from managers, engineers, medical professionals, and educators would be enhanced.
JSA modelling predicted that by 2050 the biggest job would be reduced for general clerks, receptionists, treasurers and bookkeepers, sales and marketing professionals and programmers.
We predicted the greatest job benefits of cleaner and laundry workers, nurses and midwives, business management managers, construction and mining workers, and hospitality workers.
The pace of change depends on how quickly industries and occupations adopt generated AI, but JSAs will slow employment growth in the 2030s and faster in the 2040s as the labor market adjusts.
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“The quality of adoption and implementation will help us achieve the benefits of labor tools,” the report states.
Reports have also been discovered Although there is no evidence that previous entry-level employment has declined widely, early indications suggest that these jobs may evolve, suggesting that they may move from repetitive task execution to overseeing and improving the output of AI-generated.
The JSA urged policymakers to prepare now with targeted training, industry partnerships and digital inclusion efforts to ensure that all workers benefit from AI transitions, particularly women, seniors, First Nations people, and those the report discovers.
Experts are split over how AI affects employment
The findings arise in a broader discussion of how AI affects human work.
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella argues that while “knowledge work” is being redefineed as AI takes on tasks that only people do, humans still need to oversee and direct their technology.
Others are more pessimistic. Adam Dorr, research director at think tank Rethinkx, warns that AI can abolish most human work by 2045, leaving only a narrow role that relies on human connections and ethical complexity.
Meanwhile, Jeffrey Hinton, dubbed the “AI Godfather,” says “common intellectual labor” at risk, predicting that one person can do 10 jobs with AI support.
In the eyes of Andy Jassy, CEO of Amazon, AI automates certain roles, but creates new jobs in areas such as robotics, while Bill Gates highlights the possibility that AI can solve chronic shortages in teachers and doctors.
