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Summary: ① The civil aerospace sector was hit by a wave of lower restrictions yesterday, but positive news has emerged once again. The strength of today’s capital inflows will be critical. ②The AI application sector has fallen sharply, and the suspension of trading due to Leo Corporation’s review may worsen sentiment. However, given industry trends, a recovery remains possible. ③Semiconductor equipment continued to perform well due to capital investment by Taiwan Semiconductor Corporation. If this trend holds, it may be worth monitoring for a decline in inhalation opportunities.
The market continued its volatile divergence yesterday, with the three major indexes showing mixed performance and daily trading volume shrinking by more than 1 trillion yuan. In the short term, after a few days of extremely high volume, a contraction adjustment will be necessary to stabilize the position. The short-term focus will continue to be on structural market movements.
Thematic short-term speculative activity slowed down significantly yesterday, with the commercial aerospace sector falling especially sharply, with almost all stocks plummeting and more than 20 stocks reaching their lows. However, there was a positive development last night. China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation held its 2026 annual business meeting on January 15, emphasizing the need to incorporate the important mission of building a strong aerospace nation into its annual business. Musk also stated a goal of producing 10,000 Starship spacecraft a year. After three consecutive days of correction, short-term risks in the civil aerospace sector have been partially eliminated, and hopes for recovery already exist. Therefore, the key point to watch is the strength of capital inflows due to today’s favorable conditions. Nevertheless, given the large number of trapped positions from earlier, it is unlikely that the sector as a whole will reverse anytime soon. The price movements of individual stocks are expected to continue going forward, and stocks that will show solid performance early on and lead a recovery in sentiment will be the focus of attention.
Yesterday, the AI application sector also saw significant declines, with Tianlong Group, Zidex Buy, Guangyun Technology, Yanshan Technology and others reaching the stop low. Blue Focus, a previously popular mid-cap stock, fell nearly 15%. Additionally, LEO Corporation announced a trading suspension for review last night, which may further dampen short-term speculative sentiment in this area. However, from an industry trend perspective, we see that commercial implementation of AI applications remains the consensus in the current market due to increasing technology maturity, continued policy support, and market demand resonance. After sufficient consolidation in the short term, there remains the potential for new strength to emerge in this area.
Yesterday, the semiconductor equipment sector was booming again, driven largely by Taiwan Semiconductor Corporation’s forecast that capital spending for the next three years will exceed expectations, with capital spending in 2026 expected to be between $52 billion and $56 billion. Semiconductor equipment stocks may not match the short-term volatility of some popular sectors, but they maintain a steady upward trend. Unless this trend changes, it would be prudent to continue monitoring for low absorption opportunities during the short-term consolidation process of major related stocks.
