Nvidia waits for US approval to sell more powerful AI chips to China

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The U.S. government is considering granting permission to Nvidia, according to people familiar with the Trump administration’s thinking. Nvidia H200 AI accelerator chips will be sold in China. This chip is designed to speed up AI calculations. These graphics processing units (GPUs) use parallel processing and can perform matrix multiplication calculations on thousands of cores simultaneously.

The US Department of Commerce, which is responsible for US export regulations, will decide whether Nvidia will be allowed to sell the H200 in China. The US government had banned sales of Nvidia’s most powerful AI chips to the country because it didn’t want China, especially its military, to get its hands on powerful AI chips like the Nvidia H200. However, the move backfired as Huawei was able to grow its domestic AI accelerator business while reducing Nvidia’s revenue in China.

Nvidia’s H200 is twice as powerful as the most powerful Nvidia AI accelerator the U.S. allows to ship to China

Although White House officials and the Commerce Department declined to comment on the matter, the administration released a citation that made no mention of the issue at hand involving NVIDIA. “The administration is committed to ensuring America’s global technology leadership and protecting our national security,” a White House official said. These are the standard goals of every administration that has operated at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.

Nvidia’s H200 chip was launched several years ago. With more high-bandwidth memory than the H100 AI Accelerator, the H200 processes data faster. The chip is manufactured by TSMC using the 4nm process node and features the Hopper core architecture. It’s also twice as powerful as Nvidia’s H20 GPU, the company’s most powerful AI chip that the U.S. currently allows to ship to China. The Nvidia H200 is built for Large Language Model (LLM) and High Performance Computing (HPC) units. It features 141GB of HBM3e memory and 4.8TB/s memory bandwidth.

US approves shipment of 70,000 Nvidia next-generation Blackwell AI chips to Saudi Arabia and UAE

In April of this year, the Trump administration banned sales of NVIDIA H20 to China, but reversed its stance just weeks later. The administration announced last week that it had approved the export of up to 70,000 Nvidia Blackwell chips to Saudi Arabia’s Humane and the United Arab Emirates’ G42. The Blackwell chip is Nvidia’s next-generation AI accelerator.

President Donald Trump has talked about increasing U.S. technology exports to China, and the Department of Commerce is expected to change U.S. chip export control policy in response to the recent bilateral agreement between the U.S. and China. As part of the bilateral trade agreement, the US agreed to reduce the average tariff rate on US imports from China to 48%.

According to one estimate, Huawei’s Ascend AI accelerator owns 79% market share in China.

Nvidia executives say export restrictions prevent the company from offering competitive data center products in China. This opens up China to Nvidia’s rivals from other countries that have no restrictions on technology exports to China. And, as already noted, Nvidia’s most powerful AI chips won’t be competing for market share in China, allowing Huawei to sell its Ascend 910C AI accelerator, used to train AI models, at home. A quick analysis shows that Huawei’s Ascend AI accelerator has a huge market share of 79% in the domestic AI accelerator market.

Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management, which remains the most valuable U.S.-listed company with a market capitalization of $4.35 trillion, said in a video posted on social media that changes in U.S. policy toward Nvidia’s China exports could boost Nvidia’s China sales by 72% from its expected 49% this year. Munster said revenue growth from China could be in the 60% range this year, even if Nvidia’s access to China is restricted by the United States. That number could jump to 75% if exports resume in the second half of the decade.



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